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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1Sickasulu
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)55% (138–115, n=253)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$3.2M$14.9M-$148K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position48% (19 of 40 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———Esports ±0 pts, n=216
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%56% of 248 at avg 56¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 22% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)22% (won 39% of 54)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)57% (won 58% of 142)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)14% (won 91% of 34)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1Sickasulu
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5K—Cavaliers $708—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—