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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677Lula202626S-Works
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)43% (10–13, n=23)67% (2–1, n=3)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.3M-$71K$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #640PM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus77% (37 of 48 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 2 at avg 55¢, ROI +54%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)0%6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)50% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)0%55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.