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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026jdfngkdjfnfdndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)32% (12–26, n=38)no settled marketno settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL-$22K—$0-$53K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #948PM monthly #110PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position74% (67 of 90 open)52% (49 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=47, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=23, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NFL −11 pts, n=31NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%44% of 106 at avg 44¢, ROI −2%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 31% of 13)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)56% (won 39% of 59)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)32% (won 59% of 34)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)0%46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026jdfngkdjfnfdndb1RN1
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0K——Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.8K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.6K——Cavaliers $726
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360