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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpForaPT26ndb1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3642–6653, n=10295)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)14% (1–6, n=7)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.6M$13K$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #558PM monthly #19was PM monthly #987PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)74% (101 of 137 open)no open consensus position69% (61 of 88 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%50% of 2 at avg 36¢, ROI +35%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)50% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)50% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)0%24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)0%43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpForaPT26ndb1
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.8KOver $438——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3Under $8——
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras $39KSE Palmeiras $28K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $7.5KAlice Tubello $3.2K——
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.2KUnder $4——