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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorppereira12VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)58% (21–15, n=36)71% (2793–1168, n=3961)67% (2–1, n=3)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$886K$519K$16K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #8PM monthly #891PM monthly #58
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)43% (53 of 124 open)no open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 1)42% (won 5% of 495)—33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢59% (won 100% of 13)22% (won 39% of 266)—0%
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 134)—0%
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)25% (won 94% of 296)—67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorppereira12VirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174—Chiefs $6.1K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303—Vikings $5.8K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $15—Cowboys $254