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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpMD14Tsamam
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)81% (22–5, n=27)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL$795K$482K$328K$4.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #114PM monthly #811
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (130 of 242 open)50% (1 of 2 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)4% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)13% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)21% (won 80% of 5)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)63% (won 100% of 15)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpMD14Tsamam
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 257.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $290Under $48K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $233Cavaliers $1.2K—