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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (16–14, n=30) | 71% (2399–968, n=3367) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 54% (19–16, n=35) |
| Consensus PnL | $586K | $416K | $318K | $2.4K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #137 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 49% (95 of 192 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 6) | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 13% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | MD14 | MegaMan-.- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | Bilibili Gaming $53 | — | Bilibili Gaming $25 | Gen.G $45K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $250K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $9.7K |