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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormarginferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (199–170, n=369)35% (3645–6646, n=10291)50% (1107–1127, n=2234)47% (14184–15686, n=29870)
Consensus PnL$46K$3.0M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #805PM monthly #105PM monthly #48PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +31 pts n=229, ROI +19%
  • MMA +26 pts n=27, ROI +18%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19%—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 56% of 9)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 87% of 52)—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 95% of 120)—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 99% of 75)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketerrormarginferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $132—Yosuke Watanuki $204