← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| errormargin | ferrariChampions2026 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (199–170, n=369) | 35% (3645–6646, n=10291) | 50% (1107–1127, n=2234) | 47% (14184–15686, n=29870) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $3.0M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #805 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 48% (10 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% | — | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 56% of 9) | — | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 87% of 52) | — | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 95% of 120) | — | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 99% of 75) | — | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | errormargin | ferrariChampions2026 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki | — | Yosuke Watanuki $132 | — | Yosuke Watanuki $204 |