← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| elenaarybakin21 | ohioism | lineth | machinelearned | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 83% (23486–4676, n=28162) | 50% (214–217, n=431) | 65% (2206–1190, n=3396) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $98K | $91K | $35K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #941 | PM monthly #606 | PM monthly #835 | PM monthly #578 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 468 at avg 37¢, ROI +9% | 87% of 16534 at avg 68¢, ROI +14% | 63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 29% of 139) | 10% (won 42% of 1641) | 41% (won 29% of 177) | 3% (won 64% of 42) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 56% (won 55% of 260) | 10% (won 76% of 1709) | 14% (won 72% of 58) | 6% (won 93% of 75) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 67% of 55) | 22% (won 89% of 3583) | 16% (won 84% of 67) | 28% (won 100% of 360) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 14) | 58% (won 96% of 9601) | 30% (won 94% of 127) | 63% (won 100% of 818) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | elenaarybakin21 | ohioism | lineth | machinelearned |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET opposite sides · consensus Down | — | Down $108 | — | Up $42 |