Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 85%
$10.6K
$62.16
Smart Money Signal
22 of 27 top traders (81%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $6.9K | $6.9K | -$7.56 | 81% 32112-7778 (39890) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 99¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$0.23 | 56% 6960-5414 (12374) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $595.18 | $605.2 | +$10.02 | 93% 20604-1665 (22269) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 98.8¢ | $336.2 | $340.38 | +$4.18 | 59% 15749-10920 (26669) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 87.4¢ | $288.14 | $307.49 | +$19.35 | 56% 13588-10613 (24201) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 97¢ | $190.15 | $192 | +$1.85 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 78.3¢ | $108.11 | $120.15 | +$12.04 | 56% 14683-11373 (26056) |
 ohioism | Downavg 82.6¢ | $103.59 | $125.35 | +$21.76 | 77% 28993-8555 (37548) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $88 | $100 | +$12 | 51% 13785-13152 (26937) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $94.72 | $81.62 | -$13.11 | 60% 11551-7546 (19097) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $77.78 | $94.85 | +$17.07 | 78% 63103-17885 (80988) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 86.9¢ | $69.94 | $79.51 | +$9.57 | 56% 11691-9236 (20927) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 87.4¢ | $42.82 | $49 | +$6.18 | 55% 6775-5546 (12321) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.9¢ | $27 | — | -$27 | 56% 7708-6091 (13799) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $39.6 | $40 | +$0.4 | 62% 17037-10576 (27613) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $39.6 | $40 | +$0.4 | 56% 18861-14567 (33428) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 51.4¢ | $38.85 | $75.52 | +$36.67 | 71% 21334-8554 (29888) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.6¢ | $25.65 | — | -$25.65 | 72% 51435-20417 (71852) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $30.98 | $30 | -$0.98 | 55% 13073-10507 (23580) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 99.2¢ | $35.43 | $21.44 | -$13.99 | 83% 29237-5890 (35127) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $22.5 | $20 | -$2.5 | 49% 4640-4775 (9415) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.2¢ | $15.93 | $19.16 | +$3.22 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $12.74 | $13 | +$0.26 | 61% 14067-8822 (22889) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $9.99 | $10.05 | +$0.06 | 56% 11758-9077 (20835) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 52% 16519-15327 (31846) |
Invested
$6,945.34
Value
$6.9K
PnL
-$7.56
Record
81%
32112-7778 (39890)
Invested
$1,262.77
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$0.23
Record
56%
6960-5414 (12374)
Invested
$595.18
Value
$605.2
PnL
+$10.02
Record
93%
20604-1665 (22269)
pspspsps5Invested
$336.2
Value
$340.38
PnL
+$4.18
Record
59%
15749-10920 (26669)
Invested
$288.14
Value
$307.49
PnL
+$19.35
Record
56%
13588-10613 (24201)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$190.15
Value
$192
PnL
+$1.85
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
Invested
$108.11
Value
$120.15
PnL
+$12.04
Record
56%
14683-11373 (26056)
ohioismInvested
$103.59
Value
$125.35
PnL
+$21.76
Record
77%
28993-8555 (37548)
Invested
$88
Value
$100
PnL
+$12
Record
51%
13785-13152 (26937)
Invested
$94.72
Value
$81.62
PnL
-$13.11
Record
60%
11551-7546 (19097)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$77.78
Value
$94.85
PnL
+$17.07
Record
78%
63103-17885 (80988)
Invested
$69.94
Value
$79.51
PnL
+$9.57
Record
56%
11691-9236 (20927)
Invested
$42.82
Value
$49
PnL
+$6.18
Record
55%
6775-5546 (12321)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$27
Value
—
PnL
-$27
Record
56%
7708-6091 (13799)
Invested
$39.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.4
Record
62%
17037-10576 (27613)
Invested
$39.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.4
Record
56%
18861-14567 (33428)
Invested
$38.85
Value
$75.52
PnL
+$36.67
Record
71%
21334-8554 (29888)
Invested
$25.65
Value
—
PnL
-$25.65
Record
72%
51435-20417 (71852)
Invested
$30.98
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.98
Record
55%
13073-10507 (23580)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$35.43
Value
$21.44
PnL
-$13.99
Record
83%
29237-5890 (35127)
Invested
$22.5
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.5
Record
49%
4640-4775 (9415)
Invested
$15.93
Value
$19.16
PnL
+$3.22
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
Invested
$12.74
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.26
Record
61%
14067-8822 (22889)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$9.99
Value
$10.05
PnL
+$0.06
Record
56%
11758-9077 (20835)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
52%
16519-15327 (31846)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $6.9K
wzbbb
Down — $1.3K
hoodquant
Down — $605.2
pspspsps5
Down — $340.38
CrouchPredictions
Down — $307.49
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $192
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $120.15
ohioism
Down — $125.35
gansinimen
Down — $100
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $81.62