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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pIebe | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–577, n=1570) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #195 + pinned | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (132 of 166 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (50 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 941 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 48% of 54) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 96% of 628) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pIebe | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $10 | — | No $53K |