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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dcastro222Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #16PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (181 of 263 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 43¢, ROI +57%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢100% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢0%17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up0%38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdcastro222Flaznorpprimm
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $444Ball State $18