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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| curie | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (336–262, n=598) | 45% (502–616, n=1118) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (13367–13520, n=26887) |
| Consensus PnL | $187K | $11.8M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #334 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #17 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (23 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (18 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 8% (won 58% of 840) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 21% (won 86% of 2168) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 38% (won 94% of 3916) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 32% (won 99% of 3284) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | curie | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $252K | — | Yes $318 |