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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boltbison | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $11.2M | $3.3M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #952 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (12 of 22 open) | 64% (258 of 404 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boltbison | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $63K | Yes $78K | — |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $300K | No $49K | — |