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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)49% (120–125, n=245)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)
Consensus PnL$15K$9.4M$5.6M$3.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)57% (13 of 23 open)no open consensus position56% (87 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=59, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 106 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢0%11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 58)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 100% of 46)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Bucks $1.5KCeltics $8.4K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0K—Yes $153
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $66—Wizards $331
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $217—Pelicans $4
Hapoel Jerusalem vs. BC Aris Thessaloniki
opposite sides · consensus BC Aris Thessaloniki
BC Aris Thessaloniki $10——Hapoel Jerusalem $159
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22K—Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15K—Yes $215
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6K—Yes $69
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $983——Pistons $42
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $516—Yes $29
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28—Yes $41