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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)70% (130–55, n=185)45% (581–722, n=1303)50% (1127–1147, n=2274)
Consensus PnL$23K$7.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #984PM monthly #3PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus40% (4 of 10 open)88% (22 of 25 open)58% (11 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 75 at avg 50¢, ROI +48%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 41)35% (won 98% of 206)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 33)35% (won 100% of 204)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888BreakTheBankprimm
TCU vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus TCU
Arizona $12K—TCU $32K
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $275—Over $7.6K
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $4—Over $3.2K
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $483—Over $728
Spread: Arizona (-6.5)
same side · consensus TCU
TCU $944—TCU $8.7K
Spread: Arizona (-5.5)
same side · consensus Arizona
TCU $1.1K—TCU $1.0K
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)
same side · consensus Arizona
TCU $925—TCU $864