Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677ndb1pIebe
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)70% (730–307, n=1037)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$4.8M$1.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #203 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position72% (63 of 87 open)80% (131 of 163 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147Mentions −13 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)22% (won 6% of 204)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)6% (won 47% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)6% (won 52% of 56)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)67% (won 96% of 629)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4joseph00677ndb1pIebe
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $54KNo $10