Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHawk.live
Record (consensus markets)no settled market35% (3646–6660, n=10306)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)55% (295–239, n=534)
Consensus PnL—$2.9M$3.6M$24K
Tracked as—was PM monthly #558PM monthly #19PM monthly #871
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (17 of 28 open)73% (146 of 199 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Esports ±0 pts, n=514
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 465)23% (won 4% of 121)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 255)15% (won 28% of 79)
Entries 50–70¢——16% (won 62% of 260)25% (won 68% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up——39% (won 94% of 637)37% (won 92% of 192)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHawk.live
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Canadiens $27KUtah $320—
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26KUtah $3—
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bruins
—Bruins $14KPenguins $6—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
—Maria Sakkari $12KAliaksandra Sasnovich $665—
Bruins vs. Penguins
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Penguins $11KBruins $13—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.9KOver $425—
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
opposite sides · consensus Rider Broncs
—New Hampshire Wildcats $854Rider Broncs $168—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Franco Roncadelli $296Thiago Seyboth Wild $27—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $8—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato
—Marco Cecchinato $71KMarco Cecchinato $4.5K—
Flyers vs. Rangers
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $49KRangers $27—
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
—James Kent Trotter $19KJames Kent Trotter $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.2KUnder $4—