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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ce1lvc9ew66joseph00677UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market82% (125–28, n=153)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (19547–19609, n=39156)
Consensus PnL—$21K$5.6M$3.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #787PM monthly #1PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus position70% (33 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Esports −1 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—30% of 147 at avg 30¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—52% (won 8% of 77)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 32% of 38)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 76% of 25)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 7)18% (won 67% of 3)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.