← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | boltbison | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $20K | $11.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #951 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 64% (127 of 200 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | boltbison | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $642K | No $6.5K |