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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4RN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (14184–15686, n=29870)69% (242–108, n=350)
Consensus PnL—$14.8M$68K
Tracked as—PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #194
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)81% (30 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Crypto ±0 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%76% of 340 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 57% of 2593)11% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5682)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 9181)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 100% of 8519)69% (won 91% of 234)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.