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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpndb1papaebal
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)46% (121–140, n=261)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$4.8M$23K
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (239 of 353 open)73% (62 of 85 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%93% of 134 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)9% (won 92% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)35% (won 94% of 47)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)38% (won 90% of 51)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)18% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1papaebal
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $17KUnder $6.4K—