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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpndb1Newshound
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6451–6050, n=12501)63% (992–576, n=1568)57% (795–603, n=1398)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$4.8M$41K
Tracked as—PM monthly #10PM monthly #96was PM monthly #949
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (114 of 152 open)69% (52 of 75 open)38% (24 of 63 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%72% of 1002 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)22% (won 24% of 222)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 63% of 127)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)18% (won 77% of 180)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)47% (won 95% of 473)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.