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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677peasant
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)57% (162–122, n=284)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$5.3M$129K
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #533
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (270 of 393 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Politics −5 pts, n=51
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%58% of 273 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)21% (won 11% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 38% of 45)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 62% of 63)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)40% (won 89% of 108)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.