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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4End123Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (271–144, n=415)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL—-$18K$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #784PM monthly #17PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)64% (150 of 235 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −18 pts, n=18Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—63% of 410 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 11% of 56)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 40% of 42)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 62% of 128)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—45% (won 86% of 184)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4End123Flaznorpprimm
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——UMass $444Ball State $18