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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 63% (114–68, n=182) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.3M | $4.8M | -$42K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #966 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 73% (56 of 77 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $40K | No $3.4M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | No $337K | — |