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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)69% (242–108, n=350)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$68K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #196
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (28 of 36 open)73% (104 of 143 open)82% (31 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%76% of 334 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)68% (won 91% of 228)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpThanksGivingTurkey1001
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $292KJaguars $288—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KHeat $79—