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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
baisjexferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market35% (3649–6671, n=10320)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL—$3.0M$3.5M$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #735PM monthly #21PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (23 of 37 open)72% (212 of 295 open)74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢——16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up——39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbaisjexferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33KOlympique de Marseille $6.1K—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $7.0KDaniel Milavsky $173—
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria
—Federico Coria $2.5KValerio Aboian $8—
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KUnder $66—
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
—FK Kauno Žalgiris $208FC Lugano $1.5K—
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
—FC Twente $578Páfos FC $117—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $39KSport Lisboa e Benfica $20K—
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $14KBianca Andreescu $3.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.3KUnder $13K—
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $925Under $11K—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $240Under $11K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KUnder $5.4K—
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Carole Monnet $606Carole Monnet $1.1K—
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
—GNK Dinamo Zagreb $137GNK Dinamo Zagreb $824—
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B
same side · consensus maybe
—maybe $160maybe $64—