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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| baisjex | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (8–8, n=16) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 53% (5701–5137, n=10838) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $11.2M | $3.3M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #687 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (34 of 51 open) | 71% (114 of 160 open) | 74% (25 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 8 at avg 57¢, ROI +64% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.