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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| appleperson | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (366–315, n=681) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $423K | $405K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 70% (128 of 184 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 59% (won 100% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $179K | Bulls $21K |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $11K | Jazz $16K |