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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | fantasy7788 | googleplay | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (345–290, n=635) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $567K | $423K | $403K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 54% (67 of 124 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | fantasy7788 | googleplay | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Rockets $50K | Rockets $191 |