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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aaa221 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (268–55, n=323) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.0K | $837K | $290K | $152K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (7 of 8 open) | 56% (9 of 16 open) | 65% (112 of 172 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aaa221 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $126K | Nuggets $5.0K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $28K | Thunder $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $12K | Nuggets $21K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $676 | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $133 | Thunder $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $2 | Nuggets $49 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $188K | Spurs $11K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | Lakers $3.3K | Lakers $20K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $468 | Grizzlies $1.3K | — |