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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| a17367162806 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 98% (292–6, n=298) | no settled market | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | -$150K | — | $11.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #392 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 55% (12 of 22 open) | 66% (172 of 260 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 240 at avg 52¢, ROI +30% | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 98% of 107) | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 117) | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 13) | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | a17367162806 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $63K | Yes $28K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.2K | Yes $96 |