PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Zptmlbeachboy4RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)70% (26–11, n=37)69% (43–19, n=62)48% (11887–12697, n=24584)62% (380–231, n=611)
Consensus PnL$22K$5.8M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #131was PM monthly #24PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)100% (2 of 2 open)52% (55 of 105 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won76% of 41 at avg 64¢, ROI +6%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 13% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2478)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 80% of 5)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5361)56% (won 99% of 214)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 88% of 8)54% (won 52% of 114)36% (won 99% of 8705)34% (won 100% of 129)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 95% of 20)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7425)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketZptmlbeachboy4RN1CORGII
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
same side · consensus Natus Vincere
——Natus Vincere $97KNatus Vincere $77K