PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winning2...YYYYY999RN1ccllar
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (2585–2638, n=5223)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)46% (376–433, n=809)
Consensus PnL—$167K$13.4M$12K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976PM monthly #29 + pinnedHand-pickedwas PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (15 of 27 open)58% (96 of 165 open)0% (0 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tennis −1 pts, n=386——
Settled positions, side won—51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 388 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 22% of 597)10% (won 52% of 2020)5% (won 86% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 45% of 1867)22% (won 93% of 4355)28% (won 97% of 109)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 59% of 1253)37% (won 99% of 7260)44% (won 99% of 172)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 79% of 598)31% (won 100% of 5998)22% (won 100% of 86)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWinning2...YYYYY999RN1ccllar
Spread: Pacers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $64KPacers $6—
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Nets $8.3KPacers $272—
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $7.5KJazz $227—
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
same side · consensus Top Esports
—G2 Esports $59K—G2 Esports $426