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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Winning2... | YYYYY999 | ForesightOracle | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (2585–2638, n=5223) | 89% (39–5, n=44) | 49% (7263–7633, n=14896) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $167K | $140K | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #976 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | Hand-picked | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (15 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (95 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Tennis −1 pts, n=386 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 64 at avg 85¢, ROI 0% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 14% (won 22% of 597) | 11% (won 0% of 7) | 10% (won 52% of 2020) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 43% (won 45% of 1867) | 3% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 93% of 4355) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 29% (won 59% of 1253) | 0% | 37% (won 99% of 7260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 14% (won 79% of 598) | 86% (won 100% of 55) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Winning2... | YYYYY999 | ForesightOracle | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pacers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Nets $64K | — | Pacers $6 |
| Spread: Pacers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Nets $8.3K | — | Pacers $272 |
| Spread: Lakers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $7.5K | — | Jazz $227 |