PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TyatsmrRevengeRangeRin2xneymar1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (1262–989, n=2251)89% (1742–219, n=1961)47% (342–390, n=732)
Consensus PnL—$280K$31K$473K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #320was PM monthly #806was PM monthly #414
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position91% (21 of 23 open)81% (13 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +2 pts n=2114, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=26, ROI +28%
  • NBA +4 pts n=26, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NFL −2 pts, n=29Crypto ±0 pts, n=1249—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 2249 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%92% of 1786 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%82% of 439 at avg 37¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 24% of 179)2% (won 13% of 30)32% (won 65% of 141)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 41% of 776)2% (won 40% of 30)46% (won 87% of 200)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 61% of 888)3% (won 51% of 53)21% (won 96% of 94)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 88% of 406)94% (won 95% of 1673)1% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.