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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ThePhantasmagoria | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 50% (13795–13926, n=27721) | 48% (12314–13192, n=25506) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (25 of 39 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 66¢, ROI +34% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 8% (won 59% of 860) | 10% (won 56% of 2507) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 21% (won 86% of 2252) | 22% (won 94% of 5408) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 100% of 2) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 39% (won 94% of 4102) | 36% (won 99% of 8790) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 32% (won 99% of 3425) | 31% (won 100% of 7551) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ThePhantasmagoria | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann opposite sides · consensus Jil Teichmann | — | — | Kaitlin Quevedo $99 | Jil Teichmann $2.7K |