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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SmallFishGambler | RN1 | sainttroplay | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (19–11, n=30) | 48% (11876–12683, n=24559) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (13370–13521, n=26891) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #547 | PM monthly #16 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #17 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (11 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 28 at avg 43¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 56% of 9) | 10% (won 56% of 2463) | 0% | 8% (won 58% of 840) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 70% of 10) | 22% (won 94% of 5333) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 21% (won 86% of 2168) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 75% of 8) | 36% (won 99% of 8660) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 38% (won 94% of 3916) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 7366) | 0% | 32% (won 99% of 3284) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SmallFishGambler | RN1 | sainttroplay | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider same side · consensus Diana Shnaider | — | Diana Shnaider $27K | — | Diana Shnaider $119 |
| Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Harriet Dart $5.6K | — | Harriet Dart $134 |