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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlavaUkrainiBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)68% (13–6, n=19)45% (502–616, n=1118)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (13380–13528, n=26908)
Consensus PnL$24K$11.1M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #967PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #15
Sides with the consensus82% (18 of 22 open)73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position46% (11 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlavaUkrainiBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $98KYes $265K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $310KNo $347——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $38KYes $4.8K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.0KNo $13K——