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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1thirdt1me
Record (consensus markets)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)no settled market
Consensus PnL$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #34 + pinnedwas PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2594)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5704)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 9204)—
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8622)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1thirdt1me
Fresno State vs. Utah State
same side · consensus Utah State
Utah State $14KUtah State $96