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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| RN1 | sainttroplay | whosay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 58% (1113–799, n=1912) |
| Consensus PnL | $14.8M | $4.4M | -$41K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #635 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (33 of 55 open) | no open consensus position | 38% (3 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Tennis −3 pts, n=691 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 58% of 2081 at avg 59¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | 11% (won 16% of 239) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 35% of 547) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 28% (won 58% of 583) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | 34% (won 88% of 712) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | sainttroplay | whosay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | Arthur Gea $13K | — | Jan-Lennard Struff $2.1K |