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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1sainttroplaywhosay
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)71% (10–4, n=14)58% (1115–800, n=1915)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$14.8M$4.4M-$40K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #635
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position51% (37 of 73 open)no open consensus position60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———Tennis −3 pts, n=691
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%58% of 2081 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%11% (won 16% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)26% (won 35% of 547)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)28% (won 58% of 583)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%34% (won 88% of 712)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.