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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1rroosterS-Works
Record (consensus markets)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)no settled market75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$14.8M—$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #995PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus60% (18 of 30 open)100% (2 of 2 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—MLB ±0 pts, n=139Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%65% of 1998 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 15% of 126)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5704)23% (won 46% of 459)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 9204)37% (won 64% of 749)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8622)33% (won 90% of 664)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1rroosterS-Works
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Claire Liu $2.9KAlexandra Eala $347—