PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1GoalLineGhost0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Record (consensus markets)49% (7039–7391, n=14430)59% (3007–2059, n=5066)92% (701–62, n=763)
Consensus PnL$13.2M$26.8M$14.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #133was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)54% (26 of 48 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 49% of 2167)9% (won 94% of 286)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 92% of 4547)11% (won 98% of 330)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 98% of 7502)22% (won 99% of 697)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 6514)58% (won 100% of 1787)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1GoalLineGhost0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.4KUnder $11K—
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
No $4.1KNo $4.9K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $3.2K—
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8KYes $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1KUnder $1.6K—