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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SSCCAAMM | Debosnys | dddtrips | allen114 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (88–43, n=131) | 91% (1259–124, n=1383) | 58% (472–338, n=810) | 82% (163–37, n=200) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.5K | $79K | $300K | $155K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #973 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #622 | was PM monthly #982 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 80% (37 of 46 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −14 pts, n=13 | Weather −6 pts, n=50 | Crypto −12 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI −10% | 91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 73% of 615 at avg 50¢, ROI +20% | 94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 6% of 16) | 5% (won 9% of 92) | 29% (won 34% of 177) | 3% (won 43% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 48% of 21) | 2% (won 31% of 32) | 12% (won 67% of 76) | 3% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 62% of 42) | 3% (won 57% of 51) | 28% (won 90% of 172) | 16% (won 87% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 100% of 32) | 91% (won 98% of 1701) | 31% (won 95% of 190) | 78% (won 98% of 213) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SSCCAAMM | Debosnys | dddtrips | allen114 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $54K | — | — | Yes $46K |