PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MrClaude11BreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)52% (254–233, n=487)45% (502–616, n=1118)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)50% (13370–13521, n=26891)
Consensus PnL$77K$11.1M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #512PM monthly #1PM monthly #16 + pinnedPM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)67% (4 of 6 open)58% (11 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +19 pts n=11, ROI +28%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −3 pts, n=86———
Settled positions, side won52% of 478 at avg 52¢, ROI −2%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 20% of 59)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2463)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 39% of 163)35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5333)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 60% of 191)34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8660)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 92% of 65)20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7366)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMrClaude11BreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider
same side · consensus Diana Shnaider
——Diana Shnaider $27KDiana Shnaider $119
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Harriet Dart $5.6KHarriet Dart $134