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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MadridTimendb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (1121–1267, n=2388)63% (992–576, n=1568)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL-$20K$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953PM monthly #96PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)69% (52 of 75 open)no open consensus position63% (26 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=144——
Settled positions, side won100% of 734 at avg 71¢, ROI +30%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 15% of 186)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 144)19% (won 39% of 267)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 100% of 112)23% (won 58% of 326)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 427)44% (won 94% of 619)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMadridTimendb1primmRN1
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere
Martyna Kubka $5.5K——Sofya Lansere $21K
Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
Gina Feistel $9.1K——Gina Feistel $16K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery $9.7K——Robin Montgomery $407
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $9——No $2.5K
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Justina Mikulskyte $28——Justina Mikulskyte $3