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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LTandBBimnice0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)77% (10–3, n=13)77% (74–22, n=96)72% (39–15, n=54)45% (501–606, n=1107)
Consensus PnL$143K-$1.3K$1.2M$12.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991was PM monthly #900was PM monthly #77PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (13 of 40 open)73% (24 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%87% of 104 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%97% of 497 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%17% (won 39% of 18)0%11% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 5)9% (won 67% of 9)47% (won 100% of 15)34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 5)6% (won 100% of 6)31% (won 100% of 10)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up0%68% (won 100% of 71)22% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLTandBBimnice0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $5No $118K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $4Yes $20K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $5Yes $2.8K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $5Yes $1.9K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $5Yes $164