PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kickstand7linethqiu3texaskid
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (215–220, n=435)89% (8–1, n=9)66% (367–187, n=554)
Consensus PnL—$91K$32K$7.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #213PM monthly #835was PM monthly #573was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)44% (11 of 25 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29
Settled positions, side won—63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 29% of 177)5% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 0% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 72% of 58)26% (won 91% of 11)26% (won 68% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 84% of 67)56% (won 100% of 24)69% (won 78% of 392)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 94% of 127)14% (won 100% of 6)4% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKickstand7linethqiu3texaskid
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $973Yes $393——